Firefighting
The Financial Crisis and Its Lessons
by Ben S. Bernanke, Timothy F. Geithner and Henry M. Paulson Jr.
- Published
- 2019
- Pages
- 240 pages
- Publisher
- Penguin Books
- Readers
- 2 members have read this
The Fed chairman, the New York Fed president and the Treasury secretary who ran the 2008 rescue look back together, ten years on, at why the crisis happened, what stopped it, and which emergency tools the next crisis-fighters will be missing. It is the shortest serious account of the crisis from the people who made the calls, with a long appendix of charts.
Ben Bernanke chaired the Federal Reserve. Timothy Geithner ran the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and then served as Barack Obama's first Treasury secretary, and Henry Paulson, a former Goldman Sachs CEO, was George W. Bush's Treasury secretary. Each had already written a long memoir. This book is their joint short version, written a decade after the crisis for future policymakers. As Bernanke puts it, the enemy is forgetting.
The argument is that 2008 was a classic financial panic, a run on short-term funding that spread through a large shadow banking system outside the Fed's safety net, and that stopping it took overwhelming force. Without that response, they argue, the country would have faced something far closer to the Great Depression.
Kirkus found it clear and concise, praising the authors' humility but noting moments of self-congratulation and clichéd prose. Paul Krugman, in The New York Times, called it a primer on why the crisis was possible, a ticktock of the rescue and a very scary warning about the future. Readers should remember that this is the defense's case, written by the officials whose decisions are under review.
It is the best quick briefing on the crisis response for analysts, risk managers and students who want the logic without the three long memoirs.
- Crises are runs. The 2008 panic was a classic run on short-term funding, just in repo, commercial paper and money funds instead of bank deposits.
- The shadow banking system was the weak point. Much of the leverage and maturity mismatch sat outside the regulated, insured banking system, where the Fed's safety net did not reach.
- Overwhelming force works better than gradualism. Half-measures invite further runs. The turning point came when guarantees, capital and the stress tests together convinced markets that the system would not fail.
- Legal authority shapes outcomes. What the Fed and Treasury could do, and when, depended on the powers Congress had given them. Lehman's failure was partly a story of missing tools.
- Preparedness fades. Political backlash after a rescue tends to take away the tools needed next time. Investors should watch whether policymakers still have the firefighting powers markets assume they have.
The book is short: an introduction, five chronological chapters and a conclusion run to about 130 pages, followed by Charting the Financial Crisis, an 85-page section of charts on U.S. strategy and outcomes.
- Dry Tinder. The roots of the crisis: a credit and housing boom, heavy leverage, dependence on runnable short-term funding and a fragmented regulatory system that left much of finance outside the safety net.
- The First Flames (August 2007 to March 2008). Subprime losses freeze funding markets and the Fed starts lending in new ways to keep credit flowing.
- The Fire Spreads (March to September 2008). The rescue of Bear Stearns and then the takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, with the authors explaining the limits of the legal powers they had.
- The Inferno (September to October 2008). Lehman Brothers fails, AIG is rescued, money funds run and Congress passes TARP.
- Dousing the Fire (October 2008 to May 2009). Capital injections, guarantees for bank debt and money funds, and the 2009 stress tests, carried across the handover from Bush to Obama.
- The Fire Next Time. The conclusion's playbook: build defenses in good times, act early and with overwhelming force, and keep emergency authority in place. The authors warn that some of the tools they used have since been restricted.
From the three primary architects of the American policy response to the economic crisis of 2008, this big-picture synthesis of why it happened, how it was combatted, what was learned, and where we are now is a short primer on leadership through crisis. It includes an 85 page Appendix of charts and graphs that depict visually the crisis and the results of actions taken to mitigate it--
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